The return of the Supercars to Queensland Raceway of this weekend’s Ipswich Super 440 will be an auspicious occasion, with the sport set to declare its first winner of the inaugural Sprint Cup.
Table leader Broc Feeney is the overwhelming favourite. At the top of the standings with 1759 points, he’s 220 points ahead of teammate Will Brown with only 300 points remaining before the enduros begin.
Only a triple catastrophe could prevent Feeney, the field’s top performer so far this season, from claiming the campaign’s first piece of silverware and with it a guaranteed spot in the finals.
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Others hoping to make it to the first-ever Supercars post-season have another two rounds after Ipswich to make a difference, with the final points tabulated only after the Bathurst 1000.
But there are other scores to settle between now and then too.
With several drivers still without contracts in 2026, the head-to-head counts between teammates become critical pieces of information in deciphering who’s doing well, who needs to improve and who’s at risk of losing their drivers at the end of the season.
Fox Sports has compiled a comprehensive set of statistics analysis every driver’s performance relative to their teammate.
Some drivers have already established unbeatable leads in their intrateam battles. Any head-to-head statistic with an asterisk indicates the leading driver’s advantage is insurmountable — with only 12 races remaining, any driver with a lead of more than 12 in a head-to-head ranking cannot be caught.
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1. TRIPLE EIGHT (3298 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Feeney leads 20-2*
Qualifying differential: Feeney ahead by 4.9 places
Qualifying time: Feeney faster by 0.112 seconds
Race head to head: Feeney leads 15-6
Race differential: Feeney ahead by 1.1 places
Points: Feeney leads 1759-1539 (53-47 per cent)
Broc Feeney is comprehensively dominating teammate Will Brown, leading him in every metric.
It’s qualifying where Feeney has set himself up for success. He’s by far the best single-lap driver of the year, with an average qualifying result of 3.7; the next-best driver, Matt Payne, has an average of 6.8.
Brown’s average is 8.6, and in the head-to-head count he’s been obliterated.
In race trim Brown is more competitive, but he’s leaving himself too much work to do to challenge his teammate. The trend is also negative — he’s beaten Feeney only once in the last 14 races, making it unlikely the title leader can be caught.
To some extent it’s unimportant given the primacy of finals in deciding the championship, but it’s hard to call the reigning champion a leading contender when Feeney has had his measure so significantly this year.
‘I’ve been given a flogging by Broc!’ | 01:07
2. GROVE (2328 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Payne leads 18-4*
Qualifying differential: Payne ahead by 5.4 places
Qualifying time: Payne faster by 0.266 seconds
Race head to head: Payne leads 18-3*
Race differential: Payne ahead by 7.8 place
Points: Payne leads 1524-834 (65-35 per cent)
There are no real surprises here, with Matt Payne easily accounting for rookie Kai Allen.
Payne has stepped up magnificently into his role as a title contender, leading a peaking Grove to second in the teams championship despite his junior teammate’s relatively few points. He briefly snatched second in the drivers standings from Brown in Townsville before dropping back to third in the final race of the weekend.
Grove is a growing force posing more of a challenge to Triple Eight, giving Payne the perfect launch pad for a full tilt at the championship.
3. TICKFORD (2300 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Waters leads 16-6
Qualifying differential: Waters ahead by 3.0 places
Qualifying time: Waters faster by 0.106 seconds
Race head to head: Waters leads 17-4*
Race differential: Waters ahead by 4.4 places
Points: Waters leads 1341-959 (58-42 per cent)
Cameron Waters has reigned supreme at Tickford, albeit has been more frequently challenged by Thomas Randle over a single lap, who’s still in with a chance at levelling the qualifying head-to-head metric.
Waters was an early frontrunner on the championship table but has slipped to fourth, mirroring his drop down to third in the average qualifying ranking behind Feeney and Payne.
Not only has he had no poles since the season opener in Sydney, but he’d had only three front-row starts in that time. Recovering his qualifying form is key to rejuvenating his season.
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4. WALKINSHAW ANDRETTI UNITED (2173 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Wood leads 13-9
Qualifying differential: Wood ahead by 2.6 places
Qualifying time: Wood faster by 0.086 seconds
Race head to head: Mostert leads 10-9
Race differential: Mostert ahead by 1.8 places
Points: Mostert leads 1259-914 (58-42 per cent)
Ryan Wood was handed a full-time WAU seat based on his immense promise, and he’s turned much of that potential into results in his second season.
In qualifying he’s become a ferocious competitor, leading experienced teammate Chaz Mostert on all single-lap counts by a meaningful margin.
In races a combination of Mostert’s experience and some poor luck for Wood have evened up the metrics, but the level of competition inside this team is much closer than the 345-point margin suggests.
The overall head-to-head winner could yet go either way — commendable for second-year Wood.
5. DICK JOHNSON RACING (1796 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Kostecki leads 19-3*
Qualifying differential: Kostecki ahead by 5.6 places
Qualifying time: Kostecki faster by 0.299 seconds
Race head to head: Kostecki leads 16-4
Race differential: Kostecki ahead by 5.8 places
Points: Kostecki leads 1107-719 (61-39 per cent)
Brodie Kostecki’s first season for DJR team may be yet to deliver the sort of glittering results he’d hoped for, but his statistics relative to teammate Will Davison make clear that the 2023 champion has made a significant impact at the storeyed team.
On every metric he’s dominated the seasoned Davison — and it’s worth remembering that the 42-year-old veteran beat De Pasquale in the championship standings last year.
Kostecki’s qualifying prowess unsurprisingly has him in an unassailable lead in the qualifying head-to-head, and he’s one intrateam victory away from making the beating complete. His advantage of 0.299 seconds is the largest between any two teammates in the sport this season.
Currently sixth in the standings, he’ll also lead DJR into the finals, while Davison is all but certain to miss out from his current position of 17th.
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6. BRAD JONES RACING (CARS 8 AND 14) (1733 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Fullwood leads 12-10
Qualifying differential: Fullwood ahead by 2.1 places
Qualifying time: Fullwood faster by 0.059 seconds
Race head to head: Heimgartner leads 13-8
Race differential: Heimgartner ahead by 1.9 places
Points: Heimgartner leads 951-782 (55-45 per cent)
The intrateam fight in Brad Jones Racing’s leading garage is a fascinating one.
Bryce Fullwood has been the quicker driver — marginally but decisively — so far this year, eclipsing Andre Heimgartner over a single lap.
But Heimgartner has been ascendant in race conditions, almost exactly overturning his deficit to emerge as the more productive scorer.
Resultantly Heimgartner is a likely finalist from currently ninth in the standings, while Fullwood is a long shot from 132 points off 10th.
It’s an intriguing context for Fullwood’s to-date lack of contract extensions with BJR. Rumours are swirling that his seat is set to be taken by Cameron Hill.
7. TEAM 18 (1618 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: De Pasquale leads 15-7
Qualifying differential: De Pasquale ahead 3.3 places
Qualifying time: De Pasquale faster by 0.165 seconds
Race head to head: De Pasquale leads 15-5
Race differential: De Pasquale ahead by 5.0 places
Points: De Pasquale ahead 981-637 (61-39 per cent)
De Pasquale has embraced his role at Team 18, where he’s comfortably established himself as the team leader.
His move couldn’t have been better timed, with Charlie Schwerkolt’s squad in the process of becoming the General Motors homologation team for 2026.
If GM wants its flagship operation to field a star line-up, De Pasquale is making sure he fits the bill.
It leaves David Reynolds with a problem, however. While the popular eight-time race winner has shown signs of improvement, with six of his seven qualifying victories coming from the last 12 races, in races the trend is less clear. While he was the bigger scorer in Tasmania and Perth, his biggest round defeats have come from the last two weekends in Darwin and Townsville.
While unlikely to level either of the head-to-head counts, it could be critical to his future to bring them back to more respectable margins.
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8. MATT STONE RACING (1612 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Hill leads 17-5
Qualifying differential: Hill ahead by 4.2 places
Qualifying time: Hill faster by 0.198 seconds
Race head to head: Percat leads 11-10
Race differential: Hill ahead by 0.3 places
Points: Hill leads 861-811 (51-49 per cent)
Cameron Hill has been a revelation this season, so much so that he’s become the most important player in the silly season as the highest placed driver out of contract.
It’s clear to see why.
Over a single lap he’s almost dispatched with the much more experienced Nick Percat in the head-to-head count, and his average qualifying advantages are commensurately prolific. Only Davison and rookie Allen are further adrift of their teammates in terms of lap time.
In race trim the picture is more even, with Percat even taking a slender head-to-head lead, though Hill remains the team’s highest scorer.
It explains why MSR has been so keen to try to keep Hill, though the Canberran appears destined to quit.
Despite Hill being set to leave, the damage he’s done to Percat’s standing is rumoured to leave even the Adelaidean at risk despite having a contract through to 2027, with speculation suggesting MSR could take an all-new line-up into 2026.
9. PREMIAIR (1294 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Golding leads 12-10
Qualifying differential: Golding ahead 1.8 places
Qualifying time: Golding faster by 0.083 seconds
Race head to head: Golding leads 14-4
Race differential: Golding ahead by 2.4 places
Points: Golding ahead 748-576 (56-44 per cent)
James Golding has retained his position as PremiAir’s lead driver, but it’s not for a lack of trying by new recruit Richie Stanaway.
The Kiwi has pushed Golding hard in qualifying, where there’s been little to split the two cars. Their 0.083-second average margin is the smallest outside the two BJR garages.
In race trim Golding has been the more effective driver, but the average finishing gap between the two drivers isn’t massive.
The team’s biggest problem is addressing its slide in competitiveness, with neither driver in finals contention this season.
‘**** turned in on me!’ Russell fumes | 01:43
10. EREBUS (1219 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Le Brocq leads 17-5
Qualifying differential: Le Brocq ahead by 3.1 places
Qualifying time: Le Brocq faster by 0.090 seconds
Race head to head: Le Brocq leads 17-0*
Race differential: Le Brocq ahead by 7.3 places
Points: Le Brocq leads 771-448 (63-37 per cent)
Cooper Murray’s full-time main-game debut has been rough. In race conditions he’s been subjected to a Jack Le Brocq whitewash, who owns him 17-0 in the head-to-head count.
Qualifying paints a more interesting picture, however.
While Le Brocq has a comfortable 17-5 head-to-head lead, the trend in the time margin between them is positive for the rookie, which will be pleasing to see for the Erebus management who backed his promotion to the top category.
11. BRAD JONES RACING (CARS 12 AND 96) (1073 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Evans leads 14-7
Qualifying differential: Evans ahead by 2.1 places
Qualifying time: Evans faster by 0.054 seconds
Race head to head: Evans and Jones tied 7-7
Race differential: Evans ahead by 1.0 places
Points: Jones leads 572-501 (53-47 per cent)
The second Brad Jones Racing garage serves up a fascinating head-to-head comparison. Despite Evans leading every important metric bar the race head-to-head, on which he’s tied with his teammate, it’s Macauley Jones who leads on points, albeit with a slender 71-point margin.
Evans, however, will point to his abysmal run of bad luck that saw him fail to either start of finish a race six times in seven races spanning Perth to Townsville.
While reliability and luck influence every statistic, that was a particularly ugly run, and that quirk will likely be taken into consideration in his rumoured renewal at the team for next season as part of an unchanged line-up.
Piastri & Norris INCHES from colliding! | 00:48
12. BLANCHARD RACING TEAM (1055 POINTS)
Qualifying head to head: Courtney leads 12-4
Qualifying differential: Courtney ahead 3.9 places
Qualifying time: Courtney faster by 0.174 seconds
Race head to head: Courtney leads 15-1*
Race differential: Courtney ahead by 5.7 places
Points: Courtney leads 537-343 (61-39 per cent)^
^Only the points scored since Cameron joined the team in Melbourne are counted for the purposes of this statistic.
You’d have been surprised to have seen anything other than the above one-sided results. James Courtney, the 2010 Supercars champion, has comfortably dispatched with rookie teammate Aaron Cameron — who was subbed into the team after the first round — on every metric.
Cameron, however, looks like he’s finally getting traction in the sport’s backmarker machine. His results in Townsville were strong, building on better weekends in Perth and Darwin, and a consistent end to the season could stand him in good stead for 2026, with BRT yet to contract any drivers for the new season.